Friday, September 18, 2009

Recession Hits U.S. Workers 54 and Under Hardest

Dennis Cauchon of USA TODAY reported that the current recession has affected U.S. workers who are less than 54 years old, particularly males, harder than any other segment of the population. Why? The article states:


"The incomes of the young and middle-aged — especially men — have fallen off a cliff since 2000, leaving many age groups poorer than they were even in the 1970s, a USA TODAY analysis of new Census data found.

People 54 or younger are losing ground financially at an unprecedented rate in this recession, widening a gap between young and old that had been expanding for years.

While the young have lost ground, older people have grown more prosperous over the years and the decades. Older women have done best of all.

The dividing line between those getting richer or poorer: the year 1955. If you were born before that, you're part of a generation enjoying a four-decade run of historic income growth. Every generation after that is now sinking economically.

Household income for people in their peak earning years — between ages 45 and 54 — plunged $7,700 to $64,349 from 2000 through 2008, after adjusting for inflation. People in their 20s and 30s suffered similar drops. Older people enjoyed all the gains.

The line between the haves and have-nots runs through the middle of the Baby Boom, the population explosion 1946-64.

"The second half of the Baby Boom may be in the worst shape of all," says demographer Cheryl Russell of New Strategist Publications, a research firm. "They're loaded with expenses for housing, cars and kids, but they will never generate the income that their parents enjoyed."

What caused the income gap:

- Waiting line for good jobs. Older people are working longer, crowding out young people from the best-paying jobs while boosting the incomes of older workers and seniors.

- Global competition. Low-income workers in other nations have pushed down wages in the USA. Newly hired workers — generally younger people — experience the wage decline first, says economist Dean Baker of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a liberal-leaning think tank.

- Golden age of retirement. Social Security and private pensions have elevated the incomes of retired people to record levels and reduced poverty among the elderly.

One bright sign: Women have boosted income by holding half the USA's jobs, working longer hours and narrowing the gender pay gap from 2000, when women made 25% less than men, to 2008, when they made 23% less. Older, college-educated career women have had the biggest gains.

Terry Neese, founder of a human resources firm in Oklahoma City, says income shifts partly reflect changing gender roles and values.

As women bring in more income, men can work less or stay home with children, she says. Neese says her own daughter, who now runs the family firm, worked less and went to more kids' soccer games. "My daughter says, 'I'm not going to work like you worked,' " says Neese, 60."



An important part of the American Dream has always been that the next generation will be better off financially than the current one. That has always been the case. Will the current recession be only a temporary setback in the continuation of that trend?

It has been argued that since the U.S. recovered from the Great Depression, then it can certainly recover from this crisis. However, the U.S. had both WWII and the rebuilding that followed to help pull it out of the depression. Also, there was no low wage world wide competition with which to deal in 1945.

Will the U.S. (and world) economy return to, and ultimately exceed, the pre-recession levels? Or will we live with lowered expectations for the foreseeable future?

The 'under age 54s' that I know personally are damned hard workers. They and their families deserve the bright futures that preceding generations have virtually taken for granted. I know that they will work extra hard to succeed in spite of the extra obstacles in their pathes, yet it still angers me when bad things happen to good people.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

That's actually surprising people over 54 are making so much more. I always thought most companies try to shoo out the older generations.

thinker said...

I too was surprised. The stat that really amazed me was the 55-64 age group, where men showed a median income decrease of 2.3% from 2000 to 2008, while women showed an increase of 20.6%. The ladies are doing something right!

Wayne in Pa said...

It is a sad state of affairs. I can't quote exact numbers but I would imagine that a lot of folks in this age group have been very much affected by the loss of auto manufacturing jobs and the push of other trade jobs to Mexico and overseas locations. There has been a lot of out sourcing of skilled jobs that will not be available no matter how much the economy recovers.

Right now there is a big trade fight with China over tire tariffs. Companies such as Michelin and Cooper and I thing some Goodyear tire lines are now made in China.

So a bunch of jobs right there are gone. Not counting textile, electronics, car parts manufacturing and the list goes on jobs are gone, not to return any time soon.

The working class has been able to recover in the past from recessions once things started to improve and companies started hiring again.

But if the companies are now doing there manufacturing in China and elsewhere the jobs are not going to be available.

I would hate to be a kid out of high school looking to get into a trade such as steel making, auto manufacturing, etc.

If it is tough for older experienced workers to get decent paying jobs I can't imagine a person just starting out with no experience trying to get a foot in the door!

thinker said...

Agreed.

Imagine an economic system applicable worldwide that would equalize wages/benefits and living costs. For example - auto workers would earn the same rate in all countries. That way, the competition for auto work would be determined not by the hourly wage cost, but by quality of workmanship.

Both line workers and management would have very strong incentives to cooperate, rather than be at each other's throats fighting grievances.